Thu Nov 22, 2018 10:30 am
Thu Nov 22, 2018 10:44 am
Thu Nov 22, 2018 10:57 am
Thu Nov 22, 2018 11:27 am
Thu Nov 22, 2018 11:49 am
Thu Nov 22, 2018 7:41 pm
ealing_ayatollah wrote:Actually bit of a quiet morning so I thought I'd do some maths around this to see if Harper has a point and actually Scotland should have had loads more minority managers but they're all just a bunch of racist scumbags keeping the black man down.
So to overcome my earlier assertion that Harper didn't get the interviews was because he has a weak CV and was indeed all just down to him being black, firstly let's do away with any nonsense of merit-based appointments and imagine everybody in the world is as good as everybody else and we can all just do whatever we choose to - because you gotta live your own experience or some similar such fluffy nonsense.
So in that case...
There are 42 professional clubs across their league system. So there are 42 opportunities for people to be 'boss'.
Let's say every year half of the clubs get new managers. So 24 jobs - it's a fairly high estimate but let's go with that to keep the numbers relatively simple otherwise, I might get a bit lost.
Then in total, there are 10,000 coaches in the SFA system.
For the sake of this argument, they are all as good as each other (only way to ensure everyone gets an even chance is to assume everyone is completely equal) so the chance of any individual coach getting a manager role would be 0.24% per year. (24/10,000 *100)
6% of coaches are from a minority background in the SFA coaching system. So the chances of someone from a minority background getting a top job would be 1.44% per year (0.24% * 6).
So statistically if we remove things like merit, past history, aptitude, and employ people solely on their own immutable characteristics (i.e. race) then we would have a minority manager every 69 years. (100/1.44)
Now, whislt I am certainly no sciencestition and i'm happy for someone more suited to such high level advanced mathematics to jump in here with any corrections, I do think that this may prove irrefutably that for the sake of intersectionality, inclusiveness, diversity and damn it simply for and all things good and just in the world that Albion need to fire Kevin Harper with immediate effect as Scotland isn't due another minorities manager for 44 years.
#SmashTheSFA #SmashThePatriarchy #Smashy&Nicey
(I did say it was a quiet morning)
Thu Nov 22, 2018 8:20 pm
Thu Nov 22, 2018 8:36 pm
dogfound wrote:ealing_ayatollah wrote:Actually bit of a quiet morning so I thought I'd do some maths around this to see if Harper has a point and actually Scotland should have had loads more minority managers but they're all just a bunch of racist scumbags keeping the black man down.
So to overcome my earlier assertion that Harper didn't get the interviews was because he has a weak CV and was indeed all just down to him being black, firstly let's do away with any nonsense of merit-based appointments and imagine everybody in the world is as good as everybody else and we can all just do whatever we choose to - because you gotta live your own experience or some similar such fluffy nonsense.
So in that case...
There are 42 professional clubs across their league system. So there are 42 opportunities for people to be 'boss'.
Let's say every year half of the clubs get new managers. So 24 jobs - it's a fairly high estimate but let's go with that to keep the numbers relatively simple otherwise, I might get a bit lost.
Then in total, there are 10,000 coaches in the SFA system.
For the sake of this argument, they are all as good as each other (only way to ensure everyone gets an even chance is to assume everyone is completely equal) so the chance of any individual coach getting a manager role would be 0.24% per year. (24/10,000 *100)
6% of coaches are from a minority background in the SFA coaching system. So the chances of someone from a minority background getting a top job would be 1.44% per year (0.24% * 6).
So statistically if we remove things like merit, past history, aptitude, and employ people solely on their own immutable characteristics (i.e. race) then we would have a minority manager every 69 years. (100/1.44)
Now, whislt I am certainly no sciencestition and i'm happy for someone more suited to such high level advanced mathematics to jump in here with any corrections, I do think that this may prove irrefutably that for the sake of intersectionality, inclusiveness, diversity and damn it simply for and all things good and just in the world that Albion need to fire Kevin Harper with immediate effect as Scotland isn't due another minorities manager for 44 years.
#SmashTheSFA #SmashThePatriarchy #Smashy&Nicey
(I did say it was a quiet morning)
surely if 6% of coaches in Scotland are BAME and all things people and ability is equal 6% should also be managers.??????????
Thu Nov 22, 2018 8:37 pm
northernbluebird wrote:i read tony adam's book - legend of the game - he struggled to get opportunities to manage. it's very difficult to get prime managerial jobs for any player, let alone an average one. in this case, it looks like a case of a run of the mill average player struggling just as many others do, and concluding that nothing was coming his way because he was black. we cannot prove or disprove his theory. some people are very switched on to racism - anything bad that happens to them is because of the colour of their skin.
there is no doubt that black players are routinely stereotyped in the english game. they are seen as all brawn and no brain. i have no doubt that this perception makes it more difficult for black players to convince clubs that they have the same level of intelligence and understanding of the game as their white counterparts. look at ole gunnar solskjaer - he gained a reputation as being very intelligent, which helped him get a prime PL job with us. i can't think of too many black players who are considered by fans to be intelligent.
to change this perception, it requires black managers to get big jobs, and be successful. just as the success of ferguson blazed a trail for many average scottish managers to get opportunities they wouldn't have gotten if they were english or welsh, black managers need to show they are as good as anyone else.
their cause is not helped by managerial failures like paul ince complaining that he can't get an A list job because he is black, when the real reason is because he has failed at virtually every club he's been at. john barnes the same.this gives ammo to the bigots who then say that black managers are useless.
Fri Nov 23, 2018 12:40 am
ealing_ayatollah wrote:dogfound wrote:ealing_ayatollah wrote:Actually bit of a quiet morning so I thought I'd do some maths around this to see if Harper has a point and actually Scotland should have had loads more minority managers but they're all just a bunch of racist scumbags keeping the black man down.
So to overcome my earlier assertion that Harper didn't get the interviews was because he has a weak CV and was indeed all just down to him being black, firstly let's do away with any nonsense of merit-based appointments and imagine everybody in the world is as good as everybody else and we can all just do whatever we choose to - because you gotta live your own experience or some similar such fluffy nonsense.
So in that case...
There are 42 professional clubs across their league system. So there are 42 opportunities for people to be 'boss'.
Let's say every year half of the clubs get new managers. So 24 jobs - it's a fairly high estimate but let's go with that to keep the numbers relatively simple otherwise, I might get a bit lost.
Then in total, there are 10,000 coaches in the SFA system.
For the sake of this argument, they are all as good as each other (only way to ensure everyone gets an even chance is to assume everyone is completely equal) so the chance of any individual coach getting a manager role would be 0.24% per year. (24/10,000 *100)
6% of coaches are from a minority background in the SFA coaching system. So the chances of someone from a minority background getting a top job would be 1.44% per year (0.24% * 6).
So statistically if we remove things like merit, past history, aptitude, and employ people solely on their own immutable characteristics (i.e. race) then we would have a minority manager every 69 years. (100/1.44)
Now, whislt I am certainly no sciencestition and i'm happy for someone more suited to such high level advanced mathematics to jump in here with any corrections, I do think that this may prove irrefutably that for the sake of intersectionality, inclusiveness, diversity and damn it simply for and all things good and just in the world that Albion need to fire Kevin Harper with immediate effect as Scotland isn't due another minorities manager for 44 years.
#SmashTheSFA #SmashThePatriarchy #Smashy&Nicey
(I did say it was a quiet morning)
surely if 6% of coaches in Scotland are BAME and all things people and ability is equal 6% should also be managers.??????????
Aye but there is a difference between the 10000 coaches at all levels i Scotland of which there are 6% BAME and then first team managers of professional clubs of which there are 42 jobs - so very fierce competition for those top jobs that Haroer suggests he's being overlooked for because of his skin colour.
Fri Nov 23, 2018 5:39 am
Fri Nov 23, 2018 9:13 am
dogfound wrote:northernbluebird wrote:i read tony adam's book - legend of the game - he struggled to get opportunities to manage. it's very difficult to get prime managerial jobs for any player, let alone an average one. in this case, it looks like a case of a run of the mill average player struggling just as many others do, and concluding that nothing was coming his way because he was black. we cannot prove or disprove his theory. some people are very switched on to racism - anything bad that happens to them is because of the colour of their skin.
there is no doubt that black players are routinely stereotyped in the english game. they are seen as all brawn and no brain. i have no doubt that this perception makes it more difficult for black players to convince clubs that they have the same level of intelligence and understanding of the game as their white counterparts. look at ole gunnar solskjaer - he gained a reputation as being very intelligent, which helped him get a prime PL job with us. i can't think of too many black players who are considered by fans to be intelligent.
to change this perception, it requires black managers to get big jobs, and be successful. just as the success of ferguson blazed a trail for many average scottish managers to get opportunities they wouldn't have gotten if they were english or welsh, black managers need to show they are as good as anyone else.
their cause is not helped by managerial failures like paul ince complaining that he can't get an A list job because he is black, when the real reason is because he has failed at virtually every club he's been at. john barnes the same.this gives ammo to the bigots who then say that black managers are useless.
personally I think its a problem { if there is a problem } that will iron itself out as it did with players...clubs want the best no matter what colour or nationality..
Fri Nov 23, 2018 10:25 am
SirJimmySchoular wrote:What's BAME ?
I lived in Scotland for 12 years , admittedly in a remote northern part, but now I think about it I'm sure I never saw a black person there.
Fri Nov 23, 2018 10:57 am
Fri Nov 23, 2018 12:36 pm
Fri Nov 23, 2018 12:57 pm
Sven wrote:BAME: Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic (used in the UK to refer to people who are not white)
Fri Nov 23, 2018 2:17 pm
dogfound wrote:Sven wrote:BAME: Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic (used in the UK to refer to people who are not white)
yes you said...don't think anyone is having a go at you mate , I certainly wasn't..
its just that it keeps changing what name or abbreviations are in...or out..
BAME apparently has replaced BME which was the abbreviation minus A for Asian..
Fri Nov 23, 2018 2:20 pm
Sven wrote:dogfound wrote:Sven wrote:BAME: Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic (used in the UK to refer to people who are not white)
yes you said...don't think anyone is having a go at you mate , I certainly wasn't..
its just that it keeps changing what name or abbreviations are in...or out..
BAME apparently has replaced BME which was the abbreviation minus A for Asian..
Thanks and I didn't take it that way. I just assumed some people didn't realise it had changed (again)
Fri Nov 23, 2018 2:25 pm
Fri Nov 23, 2018 7:01 pm
Fri Nov 23, 2018 7:56 pm
rumpo kid wrote:surely if 6% of coaches in Scotland are BAME and all things people and ability is equal 6% should also be managers.??????????
Fri Nov 23, 2018 8:12 pm
Fri Nov 23, 2018 8:39 pm
rumpo kid wrote:24 mate..read it again.
Where did you get the -1 from, not that it makes any difference..
Fri Nov 23, 2018 8:57 pm