Gambler's Den
Mon Jun 23, 2014 6:32 am
Okay same as the French, laying off is key as we want to be safe and not reckless. Steady gains beats big wins and big losses every time.
Ok..... First round or two as I've said before is more about getting a feel for the players and how they are adapting to grass. If we can make a profit while learning then all the better. One of our guys has PMed me saying that he has a betting bank of £200 so we will work to that and each bet represents £20 (10% of bank) and adjust that every day as the betting bank changes. Profits wont be as big as the french thread a result as we were using £100 stakes - but a profit is a profit.
1) Vania King to beat Yvonne Meusberger. Back at 1.82 lay off at 1.5.
2) Svetlana Kuznetsova to beat Michelle Lachar de brito. Back ay 1.45 lay off at 1.2
3) Madison Keys to beat Monica Puig. Back at 1.4 lay off at 1.15
4) Lauren davis to beat Alyssa Kleybanova. Back at 1.4 lay off at 1.15
5) Klara koukalova (formerly zakapolova) to beat Ashley Townsend. Back at 1.45 lay off at 1.2.
6) Jelena Jankovic to beat kaia Kanepi. Back at 1.3 lay off at 1.1.
7) Casey Dellacqua to beat anett kontaveit. Back at 1.4 lay off at 1.2
8) Alexandr Dolgopolov to beat Sam Groth at 1.45 lay off at 1.2
9) Denis Istomin to beat dimitri Tursanov at 1.4 lay off at 1.2
Mon Jun 23, 2014 10:28 am
I'm on. Well worth following for anyone reading.
Mon Jun 23, 2014 10:36 am
I will just say that im not actually backing these tips (but the tips are exactly what I would do myself). Im out of bookmakers in australia and betfair doesnt work the same in this country - no in play.
So i will be replying on you guys to tell me if someone hits their lay off point because i wont have a clue.
Mon Jun 23, 2014 10:39 am
And also, make sure you click the option which allows your lay off bets to stay up after they suspend it for a second at the start of play and turn in it play.
I cant remember how to do it off the top of my head. But if not then you will have to manually place them after the market un-suspends or ring betfair and ask. Because i just remembered all unmatched bets gets cleared as it turns in play.
Mon Jun 23, 2014 10:39 am
RoathMagic wrote:I will just say that im not actually backing these tips (but the tips are exactly what I would do myself). Im out of bookmakers in australia and betfair doesnt work the same in this country - no in play.
So i will be replying on you guys to tell me if someone hits their lay off point because i wont have a clue.
Sure you don't have a grandmother over there who needs an account?
I'll be heading out for a family meal this afternoon but I will try and keep tabs.
Mon Jun 23, 2014 10:41 am
Bluebird since 1948 wrote:RoathMagic wrote:I will just say that im not actually backing these tips (but the tips are exactly what I would do myself). Im out of bookmakers in australia and betfair doesnt work the same in this country - no in play.
So i will be replying on you guys to tell me if someone hits their lay off point because i wont have a clue.
Sure you don't have a grandmother over there who needs an account?
I'll be heading out for a family meal this afternoon but I will try and keep tabs.
In that case make sure you read my last post
Im doubled up and double banned from them all between me and the other half
I dont actually have time to anyway so not overly concerned.
Mon Jun 23, 2014 11:01 am
There is an option that says "At in Play" then gives you two options one being cancel the other being keep. I gather we change it to keep.
Mon Jun 23, 2014 11:06 am
Bluebird since 1948 wrote:There is an option that says "At in Play" then gives you two options one being cancel the other being keep. I gather we change it to keep.
Excellent, yep thats the one.
Mon Jun 23, 2014 7:40 pm
RoathMagic wrote:Okay same as the French, laying off is key as we want to be safe and not reckless. Steady gains beats big wins and big losses every time.
Ok..... First round or two as I've said before is more about getting a feel for the players and how they are adapting to grass. If we can make a profit while learning then all the better. One of our guys has PMed me saying that he has a betting bank of £200 so we will work to that and each bet represents £20 (10% of bank) and adjust that every day as the betting bank changes. Profits wont be as big as the french thread a result as we were using £100 stakes - but a profit is a profit.
1) Vania King to beat Yvonne Meusberger. Back at 1.82 lay off at 1.5.
2) Svetlana Kuznetsova to beat Michelle Lachar de brito. Back ay 1.45 lay off at 1.2
3) Madison Keys to beat Monica Puig. Back at 1.4 lay off at 1.15
4) Lauren davis to beat Alyssa Kleybanova. Back at 1.4 lay off at 1.15
5) Klara koukalova (formerly zakapolova) to beat Ashley Townsend. Back at 1.45 lay off at 1.2.
6) Jelena Jankovic to beat kaia Kanepi. Back at 1.3 lay off at 1.1.
7) Casey Dellacqua to beat anett kontaveit. Back at 1.4 lay off at 1.2
8) Alexandr Dolgopolov to beat Sam Groth at 1.45 lay off at 1.2
9) Denis Istomin to beat dimitri Tursanov at 1.4 lay off at 1.2
Davis wins - £5 profit
Dellacqua wins - £4 profit
Dolgopolov wins - £4 profit
King loses - (can someone tell me if King traded at 1.5?)
Mon Jun 23, 2014 11:19 pm
RoathMagic wrote:RoathMagic wrote:Okay same as the French, laying off is key as we want to be safe and not reckless. Steady gains beats big wins and big losses every time.
Ok..... First round or two as I've said before is more about getting a feel for the players and how they are adapting to grass. If we can make a profit while learning then all the better. One of our guys has PMed me saying that he has a betting bank of £200 so we will work to that and each bet represents £20 (10% of bank) and adjust that every day as the betting bank changes. Profits wont be as big as the french thread a result as we were using £100 stakes - but a profit is a profit.
1) Vania King to beat Yvonne Meusberger. Back at 1.82 lay off at 1.5.
2) Svetlana Kuznetsova to beat Michelle Lachar de brito. Back ay 1.45 lay off at 1.2
3) Madison Keys to beat Monica Puig. Back at 1.4 lay off at 1.15
4) Lauren davis to beat Alyssa Kleybanova. Back at 1.4 lay off at 1.15
5) Klara koukalova (formerly zakapolova) to beat Ashley Townsend. Back at 1.45 lay off at 1.2.
6) Jelena Jankovic to beat kaia Kanepi. Back at 1.3 lay off at 1.1.
7) Casey Dellacqua to beat anett kontaveit. Back at 1.4 lay off at 1.2
8) Alexandr Dolgopolov to beat Sam Groth at 1.45 lay off at 1.2
9) Denis Istomin to beat dimitri Tursanov at 1.4 lay off at 1.2
Davis wins - £5 profit
Dellacqua wins - £4 profit
Dolgopolov wins - £4 profit
King loses - (can someone tell me if King traded at 1.5?)
Yes, nothing won or lost on that selection.
Tue Jun 24, 2014 6:27 am
imagine my surprise 1984 when i say your name in bold!
Tue Jun 24, 2014 7:34 pm
RoathMagic wrote:RoathMagic wrote:Okay same as the French, laying off is key as we want to be safe and not reckless. Steady gains beats big wins and big losses every time.
Ok..... First round or two as I've said before is more about getting a feel for the players and how they are adapting to grass. If we can make a profit while learning then all the better. One of our guys has PMed me saying that he has a betting bank of £200 so we will work to that and each bet represents £20 (10% of bank) and adjust that every day as the betting bank changes. Profits wont be as big as the french thread a result as we were using £100 stakes - but a profit is a profit.
1) Vania King to beat Yvonne Meusberger. Back at 1.82 lay off at 1.5.
2) Svetlana Kuznetsova to beat Michelle Lachar de brito. Back ay 1.45 lay off at 1.2
3) Madison Keys to beat Monica Puig. Back at 1.4 lay off at 1.15
4) Lauren davis to beat Alyssa Kleybanova. Back at 1.4 lay off at 1.15
5) Klara koukalova (formerly zakapolova) to beat Ashley Townsend. Back at 1.45 lay off at 1.2.
6) Jelena Jankovic to beat kaia Kanepi. Back at 1.3 lay off at 1.1.
7) Casey Dellacqua to beat anett kontaveit. Back at 1.4 lay off at 1.2
8) Alexandr Dolgopolov to beat Sam Groth at 1.45 lay off at 1.2
9) Denis Istomin to beat dimitri Tursanov at 1.4 lay off at 1.2
Davis wins - £5 profit
Dellacqua wins - £4 profit
Dolgopolov wins - £4 profit
King loses - lay off point reached - money back
Kuznetsova loses - lay off point reached - money back
Keys wins - £5 profit
Koukalova wins - £5 profit
Istomin wins - £4 profit
Jankovic loses - (can someone tell me if this hit the lay off point?)
Will post round 2 tips within the next 12 hours
Tue Jun 24, 2014 8:45 pm
Jankovic loses - (can someone tell me if this hit the lay off point?)
No don't think so. I'm new to this, never understood lay betting but been reading your other post and thought I'd give it a go as like Tennis and gives a new dimension to it. Been following what you've tipped and just shows lost against Jankovic. I think I'm doing it right, I am up though from the others so far - Cheers Roathie!
Wed Jun 25, 2014 5:22 am
Yeah id be surprised if it did as she got beat pretty easy looking at the final score.
Round 1 profit £7.
Will now look at round 2
Wed Jun 25, 2014 6:07 am
1. Coco Vandeweghe to beat Tereza Smitkova. Back at 1.25 lay off at 1.1
2. Maria Kirilenko to beat Shuai Peng. Back at 1.75 lay off at 1.4
3. Richard Gasguet to beat Nick Kyrgios. Back at 1.25 lay off at 1.1
4. Milos Raonic to beat Jack Sock. Back at 1.3 lay off at 1.1
5. Denis Istomin to beat Julian Reister. Back at 1.25 lay off at 1.1
6. Alexandr Dolgopolov to beat Benjamin Becker. Back at 1.6 lay off at 1.2
My big tip of the day is my new moneymaker, 16 year old Ana Konjuh. Ive kept her under wraps for a while but this she will do well, i just hope its not a year too early for her.
7. Ana Konjuh to beat Yanina Wickmayer. Back at 2.2 and lay off at 1.6.
Wed Jun 25, 2014 7:19 pm
RoathMagic wrote:1. Coco Vandeweghe to beat Tereza Smitkova. Back at 1.25 lay off at 1.1
2. Maria Kirilenko to beat Shuai Peng. Back at 1.75 lay off at 1.4
3. Richard Gasguet to beat Nick Kyrgios. Back at 1.25 lay off at 1.1
4. Milos Raonic to beat Jack Sock. Back at 1.3 lay off at 1.1
5. Denis Istomin to beat Julian Reister. Back at 1.25 lay off at 1.1
6. Alexandr Dolgopolov to beat Benjamin Becker. Back at 1.6 lay off at 1.2
My big tip of the day is my new moneymaker, 16 year old Ana Konjuh. Ive kept her under wraps for a while but this she will do well, i just hope its not a year too early for her.
7. Ana Konjuh to beat Yanina Wickmayer. Back at 2.2 and lay off at 1.6.
Mixed bag so far in round 2.
Dolgopolov wins £8 profit
Konjuh wins £12 profit
Kirilenko loses £20 lost
Vandeweghe loses (someone let me know if she hit 1.1 please?)
Thu Jun 26, 2014 7:54 am
8. Donna Vekic to beat Vera Zvonereva back at 1.4 lay off at 1.1
9. Belinda bencic to beat Victoria Duval back at 1.65 lay off at 1.3
10. Angelique Kerber to beat heather Watson back at 1.3 lay off at 1.1
11. Camilla Giorgi to beat Alison Riske back at 1.85 lay off at 1.25
Thats the end of the round 2 picks.
Thu Jun 26, 2014 7:05 pm
We have had a pretty rough round 2 and looks like the first loss in a round spanning 3 tournaments, unfortunately it is a pretty big one. We have had a few losers that never got in front to hit our lay off points.
Dolgopolov wins £8 profit
Konjuh wins £12 profit
Kirilenko loses £20 lost
Vandeweghe loses i was told lay off point hit but will need confirmation from you guys.
Istomin wins £3 profit
Raonic wins £4 profit
Gasguet loses but lay off point hit, no loss.
Kerber beats watson £4 profit
Vekic loses £20 loss
Giorgi loses £20 loss.
Looks like a £29 loss so far in round 2
Thu Jun 26, 2014 7:06 pm
Roath_Magic_ wrote:We have had a pretty rough round 2 and looks like the first loss in a round spanning 3 tournaments, unfortunately it is a pretty big one. We have had a few losers that never got in front to hit our lay off points.
Dolgopolov wins £8 profit
Konjuh wins £12 profit
Kirilenko loses £20 lost
Vandeweghe loses i was told lay off point hit but will need confirmation from you guys.
Istomin wins £3 profit
Raonic wins £4 profit
Gasguet loses but lay off point hit, no loss.
Kerber beats watson £4 profit
Vekic loses £20 loss
Giorgi loses £20 loss.
Looks like a £29 loss so far in round 2
Yes it hit.
Thu Jun 26, 2014 7:10 pm
Thanks for that.
Just bencic left in the round. If she can win then the next round will simply be an aim to get our £15 back to our starting point and then by that time we should have a good handle on everyone to push for some profit.
Fri Jun 27, 2014 6:12 am
Okay round 3... I now have a decent handle on the players i think so hopefully a more profitable round
Looks like a round for the faves to me, not much value anywhere really, just got to avoid the mines. Unfortunately i think this is where my money maker Ana Konjuh meets her match and will back against her today.
1. Jo Wilfried Tsonga to beat Jimmy Wang back at 1.2 lay off at 1.05
2. Madison Keys to beat yaroslava shvedova back at 1.35 lay off at 1.1
3. Ekaterina Makarova to beat Caroline Garcia back at 1.5 lay off at 1.15
4. Lauren Davis to beat shuai peng back at 1.7 lay off at 1.2
5. Caroline Wozniacki to beat ana Konjuh back at 1.25 lay off at 1.05
6. Jerzy Janowycz to beat Leyton Hewitt (in play and suspended from last night) back at 1.6 lay off at 1.2
Fri Jun 27, 2014 3:42 pm
Bencic wins £7 profit
Tsonga wins £3 profit
Makarova wins £7 profit
Wozniacki wins £4 profit
Davis loses but lay off point hit - break even
Janowycz wins £8 profit
Just keys left to play for this round.
£29 profit - making us break even for the tournament so far.
Fri Jun 27, 2014 8:53 pm
Nice job today, enjoying this
Sat Jun 28, 2014 1:03 am
Murray hasn't been the same since his back surgery anyone think he can win it again?
I thought no at start but he's looking sharp so far
Nadal although excellent this is his weakest surface for me
Federer probably past his best now for some time
Djokovic ain't all that on grass either and Murray schooled him last season
Not many others u feel that could win it either
Perhaps he can retain it djokovic the main threat for me
Sat Jun 28, 2014 2:05 am
Only a few today.
1) feliciano lopez ro beat john isner. Back at 1.75 lay off at 1.25
2) zarina diyas to beat vera zvonereva. Back at 1.65 lay off at 1.35
3) angelique kerber to beat kristen flipkens. Back at 1.35 lay off at 1.1
Sun Jun 29, 2014 9:31 am
Diyas wins £6 profit
Kerber wins £5 profit
4) lisicki to beat Ivanovic (in play from last night) back at 1.65 lay off at 1.2
5) cilic to beat chardy back at 1.35 lay off at 1.1
6) kvitova to beat peng back at 1.2 lay off at 1.05
Mon Jun 30, 2014 4:22 pm
Roathie hitting form!
Mon Jun 30, 2014 4:53 pm
Bluebird since 1948 wrote:Roathie hitting form!
Always the same from round 3 onwards, first 2 rounds are a lottery at times.
Mon Jun 30, 2014 4:56 pm
Lopez wins £10 profit
Diyas wins £6 profit
Kerber wins £5 profit
lisicki wins £9 profit
cilic wins £5 profit
kvitova wins £3 profit
Tue Jul 01, 2014 12:10 am
£38 profit so far. Slim pickings for the next round unfortunately.
Lisicki to beat Shvedova. Back at 1.35 lay off at 1.1.
Kvitova to beat Strycova. Back at 1.3 lay off at 1.1.
Raonic to beat Nishikori. Back at 1.9 lay off at 1.6.
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