Sat Jun 04, 2016 7:41 pm
BlueGog wrote: Leaving the UK is a long term aim, Wales isn't ready to take that step yet, our economy is not strong enough, our infrastructure needs developing and obviously our electorate don't want it at the moment. I want to say in the EU because Wales benefits more from Europe than we do from England. Do you really believe Westminster will invest that kind of money in Wales? They don't even match fund the EU money as they're meant to!
You might think this is a contradiction, but I make my decision by what's right for Wales, nothing else. I'm Welsh, England doesn't interest me in the least. As I've stated in other posts leaving the EU might benefit parts of England but that simply isn't true of Wales.
Sat Jun 04, 2016 8:45 pm
markeMark wrote:bluebird-77 wrote:The more I think about the campaigns the bemused I am by people wanting to vote for leave.
You ask remain what will happen when they win and they can tell you.
Yet you ask leave what will happen when we leave they don't have a clue lol. Where else in the world would anyone vote for a party who doesn't know what's going to happen or what they going to do if they win over a party that know what will happen and know what they going to do.
It's crazy the more I think about it the more I think uk citizens need to be govern more by outside figures because we embarrassing ourselves at the moment.
We don't know what will happen if we stay either. The EU will certainly get larger in time. The wealthier countries will have to subsidise the poorer ones, and we have already seen the down side of things with Greece and Ireland in recent years. The EU does'nt have it's own money, it's all ours, the tax payers of every country. It seems as if paying tax has been optional in countries like Greece, and so who's money is used to bail them out. Hard not to see this happening again in the future.
Sat Jun 04, 2016 8:52 pm
Tony Blue Williams wrote:Owain wrote:What annoys me is the 'project fear'/'scaremongering' that the remain side are being labelled with.
Nobody can tell what will happen if the UK leaves the EU, but what is almost guaranteed (backed up by most economists, the BoE, IFS etc) is that it will cause an economic shock at least in the short term. The GBP is likely to fall against the EUR/USD, house prices will likely be affected due to the uncertainty, and we'd probably fall back into recession.
Long term I'm sure that once the UK economy has been rebuilt there could be many benefits of being outside the EU (as there as remaining in it), but it's almost guaranteed that at least in the short term we will be affected until the mess is sorted out.
This is not 'project fear' but reality. Nobody knows what will happen if we leave, which is part of the argument for remaining, but you can't call that scare tactics. If somebody could tell me exactly what is going to happen then it would be easier to make a decision, but when the alternative is an unknown situation that in itself is something people should be worrying about.
Correct no-one can say for certain what will happen if the UK left the EU but we can look at countries like Switzerland and Norway as possible examples. Last time I checked their currencies were doing fine and their economies are performing much better than 90% of the Eurozone and they were trading with EU and the rest of the world.
I can remember the 2001 General Election when that Tory Toff William Hague stood pathetically on a soapbox and repeatedly told us we had hours to 'save the pound'
Strangely 15 years on and the good old pound is still going This is why the Tories are labelled with project fear because they have cried wolf so many times in the past.
Sat Jun 04, 2016 9:23 pm
Sat Jun 04, 2016 9:46 pm
Sun Jun 05, 2016 7:30 am
Sun Jun 05, 2016 9:22 am
bluebird-77 wrote:Tony Blue Williams wrote:Owain wrote:What annoys me is the 'project fear'/'scaremongering' that the remain side are being labelled with.
Nobody can tell what will happen if the UK leaves the EU, but what is almost guaranteed (backed up by most economists, the BoE, IFS etc) is that it will cause an economic shock at least in the short term. The GBP is likely to fall against the EUR/USD, house prices will likely be affected due to the uncertainty, and we'd probably fall back into recession.
Long term I'm sure that once the UK economy has been rebuilt there could be many benefits of being outside the EU (as there as remaining in it), but it's almost guaranteed that at least in the short term we will be affected until the mess is sorted out.
This is not 'project fear' but reality. Nobody knows what will happen if we leave, which is part of the argument for remaining, but you can't call that scare tactics. If somebody could tell me exactly what is going to happen then it would be easier to make a decision, but when the alternative is an unknown situation that in itself is something people should be worrying about.
Correct no-one can say for certain what will happen if the UK left the EU but we can look at countries like Switzerland and Norway as possible examples. Last time I checked their currencies were doing fine and their economies are performing much better than 90% of the Eurozone and they were trading with EU and the rest of the world.
I can remember the 2001 General Election when that Tory Toff William Hague stood pathetically on a soapbox and repeatedly told us we had hours to 'save the pound'
Strangely 15 years on and the good old pound is still going This is why the Tories are labelled with project fear because they have cried wolf so many times in the past.
The 2 figure heads head for leave are Tory,s so why are they not running a project fear in you view? Couldn't write it what a whopper.
You problem tony you only see things to fit your agenda time after time. Used to think you post were well thought out and balanced. They are anything but that. You want every every which way.
Sun Jun 05, 2016 9:34 am
Owain wrote:Tony Blue Williams wrote:Owain wrote:What annoys me is the 'project fear'/'scaremongering' that the remain side are being labelled with.
Nobody can tell what will happen if the UK leaves the EU, but what is almost guaranteed (backed up by most economists, the BoE, IFS etc) is that it will cause an economic shock at least in the short term. The GBP is likely to fall against the EUR/USD, house prices will likely be affected due to the uncertainty, and we'd probably fall back into recession.
Long term I'm sure that once the UK economy has been rebuilt there could be many benefits of being outside the EU (as there as remaining in it), but it's almost guaranteed that at least in the short term we will be affected until the mess is sorted out.
This is not 'project fear' but reality. Nobody knows what will happen if we leave, which is part of the argument for remaining, but you can't call that scare tactics. If somebody could tell me exactly what is going to happen then it would be easier to make a decision, but when the alternative is an unknown situation that in itself is something people should be worrying about.
Correct no-one can say for certain what will happen if the UK left the EU but we can look at countries like Switzerland and Norway as possible examples. Last time I checked their currencies were doing fine and their economies are performing much better than 90% of the Eurozone and they were trading with EU and the rest of the world.
I can remember the 2001 General Election when that Tory Toff William Hague stood pathetically on a soapbox and repeatedly told us we had hours to 'save the pound'
Strangely 15 years on and the good old pound is still going This is why the Tories are labelled with project fear because they have cried wolf so many times in the past.
Yes, but you don't suddenly become Switzerland or Norway overnight.
As I said, in the long term I'm sure the UK would be fine, but there is no doubting that the pound would take a battering initially, purely because of the huge unknown surrounding us leaving the EU. Things would stabilise, but I wouldn't want to guess how long it might take.
I wouldn't say it was the Tories behind project fear either. A brexit vote would almost certainly pave the way for Boris at no10. Worryingly plenty of people seem to think that would be a good result.
Sun Jun 05, 2016 10:04 am
Sun Jun 05, 2016 10:05 am
Sun Jun 05, 2016 10:09 am
Ruislip Blue wrote:Voting to leave is like being a turkey voting for Christmas. May as well slit your own throats now and be done.
Together. Stronger.
I have spoken to the head honcho of Morgan Stanley UK and he states it would be the worst scenario possible to leave. Jobs would go everywhere and foreign investment into the country, that is vital, would dry up.
For a small economy like Wales it would be awful.
However, I doubt if anyone will take any notice of my views. Peoples views are so entrenched.
Sun Jun 05, 2016 10:14 am
wez1927 wrote:Ruislip Blue wrote:Voting to leave is like being a turkey voting for Christmas. May as well slit your own throats now and be done.
Together. Stronger.
I have spoken to the head honcho of Morgan Stanley UK and he states it would be the worst scenario possible to leave. Jobs would go everywhere and foreign investment into the country, that is vital, would dry up.
For a small economy like Wales it would be awful.
However, I doubt if anyone will take any notice of my views. Peoples views are so entrenched.
Bullshit same company said that would happen if we didn't join the euro ,the European union apart from Germany is in free fall and bankrupt
Sun Jun 05, 2016 10:14 am
Ruislip Blue wrote:Voting to leave is like being a turkey voting for Christmas. May as well slit your own throats now and be done.
Together. Stronger.
I have spoken to the head honcho of Morgan Stanley UK and he states it would be the worst scenario possible to leave. Jobs would go everywhere and foreign investment into the country, that is vital, would dry up.
For a small economy like Wales it would be awful.
However, I doubt if anyone will take any notice of my views. Peoples views are so entrenched.
Sun Jun 05, 2016 10:22 am
Tony Blue Williams wrote:Ruislip Blue wrote:Voting to leave is like being a turkey voting for Christmas. May as well slit your own throats now and be done.
Together. Stronger.
I have spoken to the head honcho of Morgan Stanley UK and he states it would be the worst scenario possible to leave. Jobs would go everywhere and foreign investment into the country, that is vital, would dry up.
For a small economy like Wales it would be awful.
However, I doubt if anyone will take any notice of my views. Peoples views are so entrenched.
In other words he was giving an opinion based on the best interests of Morgan Stanley. Fine if your concern is for the banking sector which caused the 2008 world financial crash then that's your choice.
Also these jobs just where would they disappear from the banking sector? or generally?
Foreign investment would completely dry up? I really don't think that is correct unless he was again referring just to Morgan Stanley. This is a classic example of scaring people into voting into staying.
Sun Jun 05, 2016 10:26 am
Ruislip Blue wrote:wez1927 wrote:Ruislip Blue wrote:Voting to leave is like being a turkey voting for Christmas. May as well slit your own throats now and be done.
Together. Stronger.
I have spoken to the head honcho of Morgan Stanley UK and he states it would be the worst scenario possible to leave. Jobs would go everywhere and foreign investment into the country, that is vital, would dry up.
For a small economy like Wales it would be awful.
However, I doubt if anyone will take any notice of my views. Peoples views are so entrenched.
Bullshit same company said that would happen if we didn't join the euro ,the European union apart from Germany is in free fall and bankrupt
He told me, that by law, 1,500 jobs at MS would have to be relocated to Europe if we vote leave. Surely, that can't be good.
And, Switzerland is a tax haven so I can't see how they can be compared to the UK
Sun Jun 05, 2016 10:27 am
Sun Jun 05, 2016 10:29 am
wez1927 wrote:Ruislip Blue wrote:wez1927 wrote:Ruislip Blue wrote:Voting to leave is like being a turkey voting for Christmas. May as well slit your own throats now and be done.
Together. Stronger.
I have spoken to the head honcho of Morgan Stanley UK and he states it would be the worst scenario possible to leave. Jobs would go everywhere and foreign investment into the country, that is vital, would dry up.
For a small economy like Wales it would be awful.
However, I doubt if anyone will take any notice of my views. Peoples views are so entrenched.
Bullshit same company said that would happen if we didn't join the euro ,the European union apart from Germany is in free fall and bankrupt
He told me, that by law, 1,500 jobs at MS would have to be relocated to Europe if we vote leave. Surely, that can't be good.
And, Switzerland is a tax haven so I can't see how they can be compared to the UK
And other company's and country's have said they would invest more too so it's swings and roundabout s
Sun Jun 05, 2016 10:32 am
wez1927 wrote:Hmmmmm
Sun Jun 05, 2016 10:35 am
Tony Blue Williams wrote:
The pound has taken a battering in the past and recovered. Apart from exchanging money for holiday's I haven't noticed any direct affects on daily lives, indeed exporters are always glad as our goods and services become cheaper to sell abroad.
Obviously there would be a transitional period as we exited the EU but no way is it going to be the Armageddon predicted by the remain campaign and as you concede we would eventually thrive just like Norway and Switzerland do outside the EU.
I would concede that BOTH sides have had poor campaigns. My bottom line is I can't vote for a status quo of an unelected EU Commission passing laws with no accountability to the EU electorate and the fact that this institution has failed to have it's internal accounts signed off for the past 25 years and frankly it is mind blowing why anyone would?
Sun Jun 05, 2016 11:19 am
Ruislip Blue wrote:Odds, as it stands
http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/bri ... hip-result
Remain 1-3
Leave 5-2
Don't know the relevance of these figures really other than it's odds on to remain
Sun Jun 05, 2016 3:18 pm
Owain wrote:Tony Blue Williams wrote:
The pound has taken a battering in the past and recovered. Apart from exchanging money for holiday's I haven't noticed any direct affects on daily lives, indeed exporters are always glad as our goods and services become cheaper to sell abroad.
Obviously there would be a transitional period as we exited the EU but no way is it going to be the Armageddon predicted by the remain campaign and as you concede we would eventually thrive just like Norway and Switzerland do outside the EU.
I would concede that BOTH sides have had poor campaigns. My bottom line is I can't vote for a status quo of an unelected EU Commission passing laws with no accountability to the EU electorate and the fact that this institution has failed to have it's internal accounts signed off for the past 25 years and frankly it is mind blowing why anyone would?
Well if you think that's the only effect of a weak currency then good luck to you.
Sun Jun 05, 2016 3:21 pm
Owain wrote:wez1927 wrote:Hmmmmm
And is has the highest living costs in Europe.
Check out their own upcoming referendum. Barmy.
Switzerland is a tax haven, with a completely different economy to our own. Impossible to compare them, and not a country I'd like to emulate!
Sun Jun 05, 2016 3:27 pm
Sun Jun 05, 2016 3:44 pm
Sun Jun 05, 2016 4:02 pm
Sun Jun 05, 2016 4:18 pm
Owain wrote:wez1927 wrote:Hmmmmm
And is has the highest living costs in Europe.
Check out their own upcoming referendum. Barmy.
Switzerland is a tax haven, with a completely different economy to our own. Impossible to compare them, and not a country I'd like to emulate!
Sun Jun 05, 2016 4:47 pm
Tony Blue Williams wrote:Owain wrote:Tony Blue Williams wrote:Owain wrote:What annoys me is the 'project fear'/'scaremongering' that the remain side are being labelled with.
Nobody can tell what will happen if the UK leaves the EU, but what is almost guaranteed (backed up by most economists, the BoE, IFS etc) is that it will cause an economic shock at least in the short term. The GBP is likely to fall against the EUR/USD, house prices will likely be affected due to the uncertainty, and we'd probably fall back into recession.
Long term I'm sure that once the UK economy has been rebuilt there could be many benefits of being outside the EU (as there as remaining in it), but it's almost guaranteed that at least in the short term we will be affected until the mess is sorted out.
This is not 'project fear' but reality. Nobody knows what will happen if we leave, which is part of the argument for remaining, but you can't call that scare tactics. If somebody could tell me exactly what is going to happen then it would be easier to make a decision, but when the alternative is an unknown situation that in itself is something people should be worrying about.
Correct no-one can say for certain what will happen if the UK left the EU but we can look at countries like Switzerland and Norway as possible examples. Last time I checked their currencies were doing fine and their economies are performing much better than 90% of the Eurozone and they were trading with EU and the rest of the world.
I can remember the 2001 General Election when that Tory Toff William Hague stood pathetically on a soapbox and repeatedly told us we had hours to 'save the pound'
Strangely 15 years on and the good old pound is still going This is why the Tories are labelled with project fear because they have cried wolf so many times in the past.
Yes, but you don't suddenly become Switzerland or Norway overnight.
As I said, in the long term I'm sure the UK would be fine, but there is no doubting that the pound would take a battering initially, purely because of the huge unknown surrounding us leaving the EU. Things would stabilise, but I wouldn't want to guess how long it might take.
I wouldn't say it was the Tories behind project fear either. A brexit vote would almost certainly pave the way for Boris at no10. Worryingly plenty of people seem to think that would be a good result.
The pound has taken a battering in the past and recovered. Apart from exchanging money for holiday's I haven't noticed any direct affects on daily lives, indeed exporters are always glad as our goods and services become cheaper to sell abroad.
Obviously there would be a transitional period as we exited the EU but no way is it going to be the Armageddon predicted by the remain campaign and as you concede we would eventually thrive just like Norway and Switzerland do outside the EU.
I would concede that BOTH sides have had poor campaigns. My bottom line is I can't vote for a status quo of an unelected EU Commission passing laws with no accountability to the EU electorate and the fact that this institution has failed to have it's internal accounts signed off for the past 25 years and frankly it is mind blowing why anyone would?
Sun Jun 05, 2016 5:08 pm
Sun Jun 05, 2016 5:11 pm
Sun Jun 05, 2016 6:37 pm