Sun Sep 15, 2024 4:44 pm
Sun Sep 15, 2024 4:53 pm
Sun Sep 15, 2024 4:54 pm
Sun Sep 15, 2024 4:57 pm
Sun Sep 15, 2024 5:12 pm
Sun Sep 15, 2024 5:19 pm
Sun Sep 15, 2024 5:24 pm
Paul Keevil wrote:The year is 2010 and there is good news and bad news.
We finished fourth in the Championship. We have a rich new owner in Vincent Tan but Swansea get promoted to the Premier League. So how have we done since then and was it worth it?
So after spending many millions of pounds on, and promising to keep us in the Premier League, we now find ourselves 24th in the Championship 20 places below where we first started. As an investor, this is somewhat of a disaster. But, if you want to compare non-football investor to another non-football investor one could say that even Elton John got his club promoted from the bottom to the top. So all in all £200-300 million wasted in my opinion.
Now the question is will he get any of that back and I reference the following websites.
The first is the present market value of players in the Championship according to transfermkt
https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/championship/marktwerteverein/wettbewerb/GB2
The second is the present market value of players in Div 1
https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/league-one/marktwerteverein/wettbewerb/GB3
Now I guess the best way to value a football club is by its assets less its liabilities and according to Kieron McGuire, finance Lecturer at Liverpool Sports & Business Group, Cardiff City were worth £223m (£113m) by being in the Premier League in 2019 and following relegation were worth only £75m (£63.38m) in 2020.
In the premier league (2019) our playing staff represented 50% of the value of our club whereas the following year, when we dropped down to the Championship, our playing staff represented 84% of our value.
Today our playing staff is only worth £48m, some £15m down on 2020, and if the same 84% calculation was used then that would suggest a value of £57m
Now we know VT values the club at £200m but we can only attain that value in the Premier League and did so before we got relegated. God forbid if we got relegated to Div1, where the playing staff is worth £10m, then that would suggest a valuation of the club in the region of £12m - if the sane 84% criteria is used.
So based on the above the only way I see of VT getting his money back is by us getting back into the Premier League - and he is not going to do that on his own unless he decides to gamble £50m of his money in January.
He needs an "out" and the only way I see that is by asking Sam back into the club. Sell 50% of the shares to Sam for £100m now(£80m to VT and £20m for January Transfers) and when the club are back in the Premier League Sam agrees to buy the remainder of the shares for £75m.
VT might not like it I agree but, for me, this is the only way I see VT getting his money back.
Sun Sep 15, 2024 5:25 pm
llan bluebird wrote:Why does it always end up with Sam on here, he sold us 18 years ago!
Sun Sep 15, 2024 5:28 pm
Paul Keevil wrote:The year is 2010 and there is good news and bad news.
We finished fourth in the Championship. We have a rich new owner in Vincent Tan but Swansea get promoted to the Premier League. So how have we done since then and was it worth it?
So after spending many millions of pounds on, and promising to keep us in the Premier League, we now find ourselves 24th in the Championship 20 places below where we first started. As an investor, this is somewhat of a disaster. But, if you want to compare non-football investor to another non-football investor one could say that even Elton John got his club promoted from the bottom to the top. So all in all £200-300 million wasted in my opinion.
Now the question is will he get any of that back and I reference the following websites.
The first is the present market value of players in the Championship according to transfermkt
https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/championship/marktwerteverein/wettbewerb/GB2
The second is the present market value of players in Div 1
https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/league-one/marktwerteverein/wettbewerb/GB3
Now I guess the best way to value a football club is by its assets less its liabilities and according to Kieron McGuire, finance Lecturer at Liverpool Sports & Business Group, Cardiff City were worth £223m (£113m) by being in the Premier League in 2019 and following relegation were worth only £75m (£63.38m) in 2020.
In the premier league (2019) our playing staff represented 50% of the value of our club whereas the following year, when we dropped down to the Championship, our playing staff represented 84% of our value.
Today our playing staff is only worth £48m, some £15m down on 2020, and if the same 84% calculation was used then that would suggest a value of £57m
Now we know VT values the club at £200m but we can only attain that value in the Premier League and did so before we got relegated. God forbid if we got relegated to Div1, where the playing staff is worth £10m, then that would suggest a valuation of the club in the region of £12m - if the sane 84% criteria is used.
So based on the above the only way I see of VT getting his money back is by us getting back into the Premier League - and he is not going to do that on his own unless he decides to gamble £50m of his money in January.
He needs an "out" and the only way I see that is by asking Sam back into the club. Sell 50% of the shares to Sam for £100m now(£80m to VT and £20m for January Transfers) and when the club are back in the Premier League Sam agrees to buy the remainder of the shares for £75m.
VT might not like it I agree but, for me, this is the only way I see VT getting his money back.
Sun Sep 15, 2024 5:41 pm
llan bluebird wrote:Paul Keevil wrote:The year is 2010 and there is good news and bad news.
We finished fourth in the Championship. We have a rich new owner in Vincent Tan but Swansea get promoted to the Premier League. So how have we done since then and was it worth it?
So after spending many millions of pounds on, and promising to keep us in the Premier League, we now find ourselves 24th in the Championship 20 places below where we first started. As an investor, this is somewhat of a disaster. But, if you want to compare non-football investor to another non-football investor one could say that even Elton John got his club promoted from the bottom to the top. So all in all £200-300 million wasted in my opinion.
Now the question is will he get any of that back and I reference the following websites.
The first is the present market value of players in the Championship according to transfermkt
https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/championship/marktwerteverein/wettbewerb/GB2
The second is the present market value of players in Div 1
https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/league-one/marktwerteverein/wettbewerb/GB3
Now I guess the best way to value a football club is by its assets less its liabilities and according to Kieron McGuire, finance Lecturer at Liverpool Sports & Business Group, Cardiff City were worth £223m (£113m) by being in the Premier League in 2019 and following relegation were worth only £75m (£63.38m) in 2020.
In the premier league (2019) our playing staff represented 50% of the value of our club whereas the following year, when we dropped down to the Championship, our playing staff represented 84% of our value.
Today our playing staff is only worth £48m, some £15m down on 2020, and if the same 84% calculation was used then that would suggest a value of £57m
Now we know VT values the club at £200m but we can only attain that value in the Premier League and did so before we got relegated. God forbid if we got relegated to Div1, where the playing staff is worth £10m, then that would suggest a valuation of the club in the region of £12m - if the sane 84% criteria is used.
So based on the above the only way I see of VT getting his money back is by us getting back into the Premier League - and he is not going to do that on his own unless he decides to gamble £50m of his money in January.
He needs an "out" and the only way I see that is by asking Sam back into the club. Sell 50% of the shares to Sam for £100m now(£80m to VT and £20m for January Transfers) and when the club are back in the Premier League Sam agrees to buy the remainder of the shares for £75m.
VT might not like it I agree but, for me, this is the only way I see VT getting his money back.
But 50% of the club is worth at best £50 million probably less. Why would Sam pay more?
Sun Sep 15, 2024 6:04 pm
Sun Sep 15, 2024 6:16 pm
Simplesimon wrote:I thought the stadium alone was worth about £80m?
Sun Sep 15, 2024 6:20 pm
Paul Keevil wrote:The year is 2010 and there is good news and bad news.
We finished fourth in the Championship. We have a rich new owner in Vincent Tan but Swansea get promoted to the Premier League. So how have we done since then and was it worth it?
So after spending many millions of pounds on, and promising to keep us in the Premier League, we now find ourselves 24th in the Championship 20 places below where we first started. As an investor, this is somewhat of a disaster. But, if you want to compare non-football investor to another non-football investor one could say that even Elton John got his club promoted from the bottom to the top. So all in all £200-300 million wasted in my opinion.
Now the question is will he get any of that back and I reference the following websites.
The first is the present market value of players in the Championship according to transfermkt
https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/championship/marktwerteverein/wettbewerb/GB2
The second is the present market value of players in Div 1
https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/league-one/marktwerteverein/wettbewerb/GB3
Now I guess the best way to value a football club is by its assets less its liabilities and according to Kieron McGuire, finance Lecturer at Liverpool Sports & Business Group, Cardiff City were worth £223m (£113m) by being in the Premier League in 2019 and following relegation were worth only £75m (£63.38m) in 2020.
In the premier league (2019) our playing staff represented 50% of the value of our club whereas the following year, when we dropped down to the Championship, our playing staff represented 84% of our value.
Today our playing staff is only worth £48m, some £15m down on 2020, and if the same 84% calculation was used then that would suggest a value of £57m
Now we know VT values the club at £200m but we can only attain that value in the Premier League and did so before we got relegated. God forbid if we got relegated to Div1, where the playing staff is worth £10m, then that would suggest a valuation of the club in the region of £12m - if the sane 84% criteria is used.
So based on the above the only way I see of VT getting his money back is by us getting back into the Premier League - and he is not going to do that on his own unless he decides to gamble £50m of his money in January.
He needs an "out" and the only way I see that is by asking Sam back into the club. Sell 50% of the shares to Sam for £100m now(£80m to VT and £20m for January Transfers) and when the club are back in the Premier League Sam agrees to buy the remainder of the shares for £75m.
VT might not like it I agree but, for me, this is the only way I see VT getting his money back.
Sun Sep 15, 2024 6:35 pm
Sun Sep 15, 2024 6:49 pm
Sun Sep 15, 2024 6:54 pm
Paul Keevil wrote:Wez regrettably you are right. If he doesn't want to recoup his money he doesn't have to. But I would hope any owner wants to get Premier League football and, if he cant get it, then let someone else who can and wants to.
Someone asked why would Sam pay more than the club is worth? A good question. The answer is because, like many of us, CCFC remains his club. It is a club he watches every match. He loves this place and to him this is unfinished business. In the past he run out of money. Nowadays he is richer than Tan.
Mon Sep 16, 2024 7:29 am
Tue Sep 17, 2024 10:32 pm